The Never Trump Economist Does Not Get It

In an October 6 "Leaders" article titled "China's designs on Europe," The Economist said the following: "On issues such as climate change and trade, China has acted more responsibly than the Trump administration, seeking to uphold global accords rather than chuck grenades at them."The ignorance of this statement is truly remarkable coming from anyone north …

FT Midterms Analysis

There are 29 Republican-held House seats currently rated toss-up by The Cook Political Report. If each side wins the seats "likely" or "leaning" in their direction, Democrats need to win just 8 of the 29 toss-ups to reach the magic number 23.

Trump Single-Handedly Destroys Elizabeth Warren

The anti-Trump crowd is fond of claiming they are "determined, not deranged" (to paraphrase the unfortunately named Charles Blow of The NYT). I'm fond of saying that the denial of the existence of "Trump Derangement Syndrome" ("TDS") is a strong indicator that one is possessed of the syndrome. It's not rocket science - all it takes …

What Does It Actually Mean To Be A Democrat?

In an op-ed to the Portland Press Herald this week I included the fact I am currently registered as a Democrat in the author's description box. I did so opportunistically in order to properly orient readers' interpretation of the article, which viewed in a vacuum could have been viewed as coming from a partisan Republican. …

President Trump Single-Handedly Resuscitated The “Blue Wave”

On June 9 I wrote that the "Blue Wave" was still dead, despite a widening in the Generic Ballot to D+7.6, due to the fact GOP strength at the ballot box was likely to be tied to economic optimism as reflected in and confirmed by the stock market. From my career perch as a money …

The Blue Wave Is Still Dead

According to a barrage of recent generic ballot polling the Democrats' lead has widened out again to D+7.6. Democrats should not take comfort. The anti-Trump, single-payer platform is NOT working. The chief reason for the widening is (likely) a weak stock market. Generic ballot polling acts with a lag versus the market, and the market …

Democrats’ Path To A Midterm Loss Widens And “2018: The Year Of Trade – Part 4”

In a March 25 post on the state of trade negotiations I said: "This is precisely why the stock market is holdings up quite well in the face of D.C. “chaos”. The market knows full well this is the most business-friendly administration in modern American history and that it will not allow the globe to …

Why The Democrats Are Likely To Lose In 2018

A Democrat Party loss in the 2018 midterms would be: loss of seats in the Senate, and failure to take the House. With the Real Clear Politics Generic Ballot currently sitting at D+6, the headline odds point to a Democrat "victory" - call it 75 percent (i.e. 25 percent chance of "loss"). Looking at the …

Nonsense Title By The Portland Press Herald

I recently submitted an op-ed to the Portland Press Herald entitled "The Case for Trump/Russia Collusion." The PPH ran the op-ed, but with the title "Democrats need policy response to Trump, not just impeachment goal" and subtitle "Even if collusion is confirmed, it's not necessarily grounds to expel the president." This was highly misleading, as …

Did “Ye” Just Single-Handedly Destroy The Democrat Party?

In his recently-released rap battle with TI, Kanye West said (2:20): "Lotta people agree with me but they too scared to speak up." I have long said that President Trump is in the process of single-handedly destroying the Democrat Party as we know it today, so I am giving Kanye too much credit with my …